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However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). Temperature: Below Average, WANT MORE? NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 October climate data across southeast Arizona. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Sign Up for the Morning Brief - a weekday newsletter infused with your forecast, fun facts, articles and bite-sized nuggets to energize your day. Click on the images below for larger view. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. That is 100% free to view. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. The full-year 2022 figures for these figures came to $2.33 and $2.11 per diluted share, for y/y gains of 16%.The funds from operations figures are important because they fund UDR's dividend. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. National Weather Service Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. Precipitation: Below Average This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. We say absolutely! On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 111 on June 16th to a low of 66 on June 5th. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. Get more stories delivered right to your email. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. November climate data across southeast Arizona. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. There were 23 days in which the daily low temperature was in the 80s. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. See more current weather Annual Weather Averages in Sedona Airport Sedona Airport is 29 miles from Arizona, so the actual climate in Arizona can vary a bit. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. Equal chances use the map provided below. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. US Dept of Commerce For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. July climate data across southeast Arizona. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. Well, until it's August. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . Winter in Arizona is always a mixed bag. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. Winter- It's Coming! The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Then it smashed that record. . Here are some of the monthly rainfall highlights during 2022: Rainfall totals across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 6"-13" across the metro area with significantly higher totals in the surrounding mountains. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. Toggle navigation. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York.